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Workers 1,...,n are currently idle. Suppose that each worker , independently, has probability p of being...

Workers 1,...,n are currently idle. Suppose that each worker , independently, has probability p of being eligible for a job and that a job is equally likely to be assigned to any of the workers that are eligible for it (if none are eligible, the job is rejected). Find the probability that the next job is assigned to worker 1.

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There are n workers to whom job can be assigned so number of ways of assigning next job is n. Out of these n ways, one way is for assigning job to worker 1 so the probability that the next job is assigned to worker 1 is

P = 1 / n

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