Case Overview:
You are an intelligent ten-year-old child who wants to start a
lemonade stand. You live in Duluth, Minnesota in a middle class
neighborhood, with all of the benefits and constraints of a typical
child of that age. As a start, you have outlined three possible
business plans:
Fresh Squeezed Plan:
Your mother has agreed to loan you $5 to get your fresh squeezed lemonade stand started and she will let you use her lemon squeezer at no charge, provided that you don't ask for any more help because she is really busy investing in real companies as a partner in a boutique Duluth-based VC fund. Without too much hesitation you take her up on this figuring it’ll be enough to get going because you know that a bag of lemons costs $2.50. After doing some more research, you calculate that you can make ten cups of fresh squeezed lemonade from the lemons. It’ll take approximately one hour to make and you believe you can sell each cup for $1. The total cost of lemons, cups and ice for ten cups comes to $3.75. Your mom will also loan you a chair and table for the day as she’s very supportive of fresh lemonade, and the cost to make a paper sign will be approximately $1. Weather will not be a factor for demand because you will not squeeze the lemons until it's a warm day. Because your mom is nice, she is not charging you any interest on the loan she has agreed to provide.
Frozen Lemonade Plan:
If you want to sell lemonade made from concentrate, your mother will buy you three cans of frozen concentrate for $1.00 each. Each can makes approximately 20 cups. You believe you can sell 20 cups each day for $.50 each, but fear if the weather is cooler than expected you might only sell 10 cups per day at this price. Thirty cups plus ice cost $5.25. Chairs and tables cost $1 per day to rent in this scenario as your mom is a bit wary of you hocking concentrate lemonade. Your mother will not rent them for longer than three days, so you will shut down the stand after three days. The cost of a sign is still $1. You also need a pitcher that will cost $5 to handle the larger volume of lemonade.
Lemonade Mix Plan:
If you want to sell lemonade from a powdered mix, your mother wants no part of it. She tells you to go talk to your father. He agrees to buy you a tin of powdered lemonade for $8 that makes 1000 cups. You believe you can sell 100 cups of this lemonade each day for $.25 per cup, but only if you move the stand down the street to your uncle's house where there is more traffic. You fear if the weather is cooler than expected that you may sell only 50
cups each day. The cost for ten cups and ice (not including the lemonade) is $1.75. Because the volume for this business is higher, you must pay your little brother $.03 per cup to fill and serve them. Your uncle will rent you a table and chairs for $1 per day for a maximum of ten days. Buying a pitcher, hose and larger stand and sign will cost $15. You lack this additional $15 for hard assets, but your big sister will loan you $15 if once you pay her back she receives a third of your profits.*
* By this, we mean that you will pay back your sister $15 once you have $15 in profit, and then give her 1/3 of every dollar of profit from then on. She drives a hard bargain.
With this info, fill out the following:
Answer:
Facts form the case | ||||
Fresh | Frozen | Powdered | Remarks | |
Price/ cup | 1 | 0.5 | 0.25 | |
Variable cost per cup | 0.375 | 0.225 | 0.213 | |
Fixed cost per day | - | 1 | 1 | Rental of chair and table |
PSI/ Capital invested | 1 | 6 | 15 | |
Total cups sold - expected | 10 | 60 | 1000 | |
Total cups sold - Worst case | 10 | 30 | 500 |
Calculation of variable cost per cup
Calculation | ||||||
Fresh | Frozen | Powdered | Fresh | Frozen | Powdered | |
Lemons | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.008 | =2.5/10 | =1/20 | =8/1000 |
Cups and ice | 0.125 | 0.175 | 0.175 | =(3.75-2.5)/10 | =5.25/30 | =1.75/10 |
Little brother service | 0.03 | |||||
TOTAL | 0.375 | 0.225 | 0.213 |
Calculation of PSI/ Capital invested
Fresh | Frozen | Powdered | |
Paper sign board | 1 | 1 | |
Pitcher | 5 | ||
Pitcher, hose and larger stand | 15 | ||
TOTAL | 1 | 6 | 15 |
Next table
Fresh | Frozen | Powdered | ||||
Expected | Expected | Low | Expected | Low | Remarks | |
Break even | ||||||
Revenue/ cup | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 0.25 | |
Variable cost/ cup | 0.375 | 0.225 | 0.225 | 0.213 | 0.213 | As calculated above |
Contribution/ cup | 0.625 | 0.275 | 0.275 | 0.037 | 0.037 | Rev - VC |
Fixed period costs (FPC) | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | FC per day X no of days | |
Cups/ day breakeven on FPC | 11 | 11 | 271 | 271 | FC/ Contribution | |
Revenue/ cup | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 0.25 | As given |
Cups/ day | 10 | 20 | 10 | 100 | 50 | As given |
Rev/ day | 10 | 10 | 5 | 25 | 12.5 | Rev/ cup X Cups/ day |
VC/ Day | 3.75 | 4.5 | 2.25 | 21.3 | 10.65 | VC/ cup X Cups/ day |
FPC/ Day | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | As calculated above |
Profit/ day | 6.25 | 4.50 | 1.75 | 2.70 | 0.85 | Rev - VC- FPC |
PSI | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | As calculated above |
Payoff of PSI | 0.16 | 1.33 | 3.43 | 5.56 | 17.65 | PSI/ Profit per day |
Days in operation | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | As given |
Projected proforma Returns at the end of lemonade stand (Total length varies for each plan) | ||||||
Total revenue | 10 | 30 | 15 | 250 | 125 | Rev per day X Days in oper |
COGS | 3.75 | 13.5 | 6.75 | 213 | 106.5 | VC per day X Days in oper |
FPC | - | 3.00 | 3.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | FPC per day X Days in oper |
Net inc | 6.25 | 13.50 | 5.25 | 27.00 | 8.50 | Rev - cost - FPC |
PSI | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 | |
Interest payment to big sister | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.00 | - | (Net inc - 15)/3 |
Net takeaway for kid | 5.25 | 7.50 | (0.75) | 8.00 | (6.50) | Net inc - PSI - Interest |
Profit/ day | 5.25 | 2.50 | (0.25) | 0.80 | (0.65) | Net takeaway/ days in operation |
Key factor excluded that could affect decision making is interest on working capital.
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