A stock price is currently $50. It is known that at the end of 6 months it will be either $45 or $55. The risk-free interest rate is 10% per annum with continuous compounding. What is the value of a 6-month European put option with a strike price of $50?
| Upmove (U)= High price/current price=55/50=1.1 | ||||||
| Down move (D)= Low price/current price=45/50=0.9 | ||||||
| Risk neutral probability for up move | ||||||
| q = (e^(risk free rate*time)-D)/(U-D) | ||||||
| =(e^(0.1*0.5)-0.9)/(1.1-0.9)=0.75636 | ||||||
| Put option payoff at high price (payoff H) | ||||||
| =Max(Strike price-High price,0) | ||||||
| =Max(50-55,0) | ||||||
| =Max(-5,0) | ||||||
| =0 | ||||||
| Put option payoff at low price (Payoff L) | ||||||
| =Max(Strike price-low price,0) | ||||||
| =Max(50-45,0) | ||||||
| =Max(5,0) | ||||||
| =5 | ||||||
| Price of Put option = e^(-r*t)*(q*Payoff H+(1-q)*Payoff L) | ||||||
| =e^(-0.1*0.5)*(0.756355*0+(1-0.756355)*5) | ||||||
| =1.16 |
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