Question 1: How far away is the horizon date?
Option 1: When the growth rate become constant at the end of year 2.
For the next two parts of the question, we need to use the two stage gordon growth model and/or two stage dividend discount model.
Intrinsic Value = Value in the growth stage + Horizon Value
We know that D0 = $ 2.25
Let us also calculate the dividends at the end of 1st and 2d Year.
D1 = D0 * (1 + 16%) = 2.25 * (1+16%) = $ 2.61
D2 = D1 * (1 + 16%) = 2.61 * (1+16%) = $ 3.0276
Question 2: Firm's Horizon or Continuing Value
This can be calculated as:
Horizon Value = D2 * (1+ g) / (r - g)
wherein, D2 = Dividend in Year 2
g = Long Term Growth Rate = 7%
r = Required Return = 11%
Using the abovementioned values in the Horizon Value formula
Horizon Value = $ 3.0276 * ( 1 + 7%) / (11% - 7%)
Horizon Value = $ 3.239532 / 4%
Horizon Value = $ 80.9883 = $ 80.99 ..... (rounded to 2 decimal places)
Question 3: Intrinsic value
As stated above, the intrinsic value can be calculated using the 2 stage gordon growth model:
Intrinsic Value = Value in the growth stage + Horizon Value
Intrinsic Value = Po = [ D0 * (1+16%) / (1 + r) ] + [ D1 * (1+16%) / (1 + r)^2 ] + [ Horizon Value / (1 + r)^2 ]
Here, in the above formula in the growth stage, the dividends are discounted by the required rate of return to present value and also, the horizon value at the end of year 2 is discounted to the present value
Intrinsic Value = Po = [ D1 / (1 + r) ] + [ D2 / (1 + r)^2 ] + [ Horizon Value / (1 + r)^2 ]
Since, D1 = D0 * (1+16%) = $ 2.61 ...calculated above
D2 = D1 * (1+16%) = $ 3.0276 ...calculated above
r = 11% required rate of return ... given
Horizon Value = $ 80.9883 ...calculated above
Using these, in the formula for Intrinsic value:
Intrinsic Value = Po = [ 2.61 / 1.11 ] + [ 3.0276 / 1.2321 ] + [80.9883 / 1.2321]
Intrinsic Value = Po = $ 70.54054 = $ 70.54 ..... (rounded to 2 decimal places)
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