You are considering making a movie. The movie is expected to cost $ 10.1 million up front and take a year to produce. After that, it is expected to make $ 4.1 million in the year it is released and $ 2.1 million for the following four years. What is the payback period of this investment? If you require a payback period of two years, will you make the movie? Does the movie have positive NPV if the cost of capital is 10.5 %?
| Project | ||
| Year | Cash flow stream | Cumulative cash flow |
| 0 | -10.1 | -10.1 |
| 1 | 0 | -10.1 |
| 2 | 4.1 | -6 |
| 3 | 2.1 | -3.9 |
| 4 | 2.1 | -1.8 |
| 5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| 6 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Payback period is the time by which undiscounted cashflow cover the intial investment outlay | ||
| this is happening between year 4 and 5 | ||
| therefore by interpolation payback period = 4 + (0-(-1.8))/(0.3-(-1.8)) | ||
| 4.86 Years | ||
| Reject project as payback period is more than 2 years | ||
| Project | |||||||
| Discount rate | 0.105 | ||||||
| Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Cash flow stream | -10.1 | 0 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Discounting factor | 1 | 1.105 | 1.221025 | 1.349233 | 1.4909021 | 1.647447 | 1.820429 |
| Discounted cash flows project | -10.1 | 0 | 3.357835 | 1.55644 | 1.4085432 | 1.2747 | 1.153574 |
| NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||
| NPV Project = | -1.35 | ||||||
| Where | |||||||
| Discounting factor = | (1 + discount rate)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||
| Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor | ||||||
| NPV is negative | |||||||
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