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QUESTION 11 10 pois The stock of the Miami Tower Company (MTC) is currently worth $100. Over each of the next two years, the

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Answer #1

Solution:

The risk neutral probability is given by:

Qu = (e^rt - d) / (u-d)    . . . . . .Equation A)

Where Qu -> risk neutral probability of an upmove

r -> risk free rate , t -> period , u -> size of the upmove , d -> size of the downmove

We have with us:

r = 3% (.03) u =115% (1.15) d=90% (.9) t =1 year

Putting the above values in Equation A) we get,

Qu = (e^(.03*1) - .9)/(1.15 - .9)

= (1.0304545 - .9)/(1.15 - .9)

= .130454534 / .25

=.521818136 = 52.1818136 %

The risk neutral probability of an upmove is 52.1818136% and probability of a downmove is (1-Qu) i.e.

1- .521818136 = .478181864

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