Your company is considering adding a new production line in order to meet increasing product demand. The investment will be financed at an interest rate of 8% compounded annually. The new line will cost $650,000 in procurement and installation. An additional $21,000 will be incurred as annual operating and maintenance (O & M) cost. Additional annual revenue by using the new line is estimated to be $112,000. If the company wants to “break-even” by investing in the extra production line in 10 years. What advice will you give the company with this investment? What could be altered to make the investment more attractive?
We need to calculate the NPV of the investment:
| Year | CF | Discount Factor | Discounted CF | ||
| 0 | $ -6,50,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^0= | 1 | 1*-650000= | -6,50,000.00 |
| 1 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^1= | 0.925925926 | 0.925925925925926*91000= | 84,259.26 |
| 2 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^2= | 0.85733882 | 0.857338820301783*91000= | 78,017.83 |
| 3 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^3= | 0.793832241 | 0.79383224102017*91000= | 72,238.73 |
| 4 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^4= | 0.735029853 | 0.735029852796453*91000= | 66,887.72 |
| 5 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^5= | 0.680583197 | 0.680583197033753*91000= | 61,933.07 |
| 6 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^6= | 0.630169627 | 0.630169626883105*91000= | 57,345.44 |
| 7 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^7= | 0.583490395 | 0.583490395262134*91000= | 53,097.63 |
| 8 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^8= | 0.540268885 | 0.540268884501976*91000= | 49,164.47 |
| 9 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^9= | 0.500248967 | 0.500248967131459*91000= | 45,522.66 |
| 10 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.08)^10= | 0.463193488 | 0.463193488084684*91000= | 42,150.61 |
| NPV = Sum of all Discounted CF | -39,382.59 | ||||
NPV is negative so this investment is not worth investing at 8%
If the interest rate is lower than 8%, the Negative NPV will
improve. We need to find the rate at which NPV = 0, which is the
IRR of the company. IRR can be calculated using either a financial
calculator or excel or through hit and trial. Using Excel we get
the IRR = 6.64% rounded to two decimal places
| Year | CF | Discount Factor | Discounted CF | ||
| 0 | $ -6,50,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^0= | 1 | 1*-650000= | -6,50,000.00 |
| 1 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^1= | 0.937757948 | 0.937757948355806*91000= | 85,335.97 |
| 2 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^2= | 0.87938997 | 0.879389969704491*91000= | 80,024.49 |
| 3 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^3= | 0.824654934 | 0.824654933794758*91000= | 75,043.60 |
| 4 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^4= | 0.773326719 | 0.773326718816865*91000= | 70,372.73 |
| 5 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^5= | 0.725193277 | 0.725193277246431*91000= | 65,992.59 |
| 6 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^6= | 0.68005576 | 0.680055759832036*91000= | 61,885.07 |
| 7 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^7= | 0.637727694 | 0.637727694107639*91000= | 58,033.22 |
| 8 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^8= | 0.598034214 | 0.598034214036059*91000= | 54,421.11 |
| 9 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^9= | 0.560811338 | 0.560811337601031*91000= | 51,033.83 |
| 10 | $ 91,000.00 | 1/(1+0.0663732594891085)^10= | 0.525905289 | 0.525905289363419*91000= | 47,857.38 |
| NPV = Sum of all Discounted CF | 0.00 | ||||
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