For evaluating, which option is better is better we can use various methods such as Net Present Value Method, Future Value at Year end 20, MIRR. Net Present Value is normally considered to be best method when evaluating proposals of similar scale. Hence, Net Present Value method is used.
For Present Value Calculations, discounting rate is assumed to be 4%. (Other figure could also be assumed)
Option 1 :
Purchase house outright Cash.
In this case, there would be Cash Outfow upfront, i.e., at Year 0, of $1,50,000 & Value of house will keep appreciating @ 5% per annum for 20 years. ( as question has given time frame of 20 years).
Value at end of Year 20 = Future Value of $1,50,000 @ 5% = 1,50,000 * (1.05)^20 = 1,50,000 * 2.6533 = $ 3,97,995
Net Present Value = Present Value of Cash Inflows - Present Value of Cash Outflow = Present Value of $ 3,97,995 (Value of house at year end 20) - Value of house purchased now
= $3,97,995/(1.04)^20 - 1,50,000 = 1,81,640 - 1,50,000 = $ 31,640
Option 2 :
Invest $1,50,000 in Stock Market & Rent a house at $800 per month for 20 years
In this case, there would be 2 cash outflows & 1 cash inflow as follows:-
1. Cash Outflow upfront at year 0 of $1,50,000 for investing in stock market.
2. $800 per month, i.e., $9,600 per year for 20 years for House Rent. ( It is assumed house rent is paid at year end)
3. Cash Inflow from Stock Market at end of 20 years.
Present Value of Annuity = P ( 1 - (1+r)^(-n))/r); P = periodic payment, r = rate of interest, n= no. of periods
Present Value of Cash Outflows of Rent Payments = Present Value of Annuity Payment of $9,600 (based on above formula) = 9,600 * (1-(1+0.04)^(-20))/(0.04) = $1,30,467
Cash Inflow at Year end 20 out of Stock markets = Future Value of $1,50,000 @ 8% = 1,50,000 * (1.08)^20 = 1,50,000 * 4.6610 = $ 6,99,150
Present Value of Cash Inflows at years end 20 = $6,99,150 / (1.04)^20 = $ 3,19,083
Net Present Value = Present Value of Cash Inflows - Present Value of Cash Outflows = $ 3,19,083 - ( $1,30,467 + $ 1,50,000) = $ 38,596
As Net Present Value of Option 2, i.e., to invest in stock market & rent a house is better than NPV of Option 1,i.e., purchasing house upfront. Hence, It is better to Invest in Stock Market & Rent a house rather than purchasing house upfront.
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