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5. Consider a genetic test for susceptibility to a certain environmentally induced illness. Let S denote the event that an in

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Answer #1

a)
P(P) = P(P|S)*P(S) + P(P|N)*P(N)
= 0.9 * 0.3 + 0.1 * 0.7
= 0.34

b)
P(P and S) = P(P|S) * P(S)
= 0.9 * 0.3
= 0.27

c)
P(S|P) = P(P|S)*P(S)/(P(P|S)*P(S) + P(P|N)*P(N))
= 0.9 * 0.3 / (0.9 * 0.3 + 0.1 * 0.7)
= 0.7941

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