Question

During a major market crash, the average loss on an equity portfolio is 54%. In the...

During a major market crash, the average loss on an equity portfolio is 54%. In the two to three years following, the recovery generates an average return of 193%. If you avoid panic and hold your position throughout, what is your total return for the holding period from start to finish?

Remember, returns compound.

Enter answer in percents.

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Answer #1

Let beginning investment be 100.

During market crash, we lose 54% and value of investment becomes 46.

In two to three years, we generate a return of 193% or 88.78 on 46 and our ending value becomes 134.78.

Holding Period Return = Income + (End of period value - Initial Value)/Initial Value

Therefore, HPR = (134.78 - 100)/100 = 34.78%.

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