Question

seling service records the number of cals to their hohe for the last year what is the forecast for Augustfthe forecast for June was 164 andthe service uses expoental smoothing with an a ha ofoa? Month 127 ○A 10067 B 175 36 OC. 18893 O D. 164 80
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Answer #1

For calculating forecast of the month August, we first have to calculate the forecast of month July.

We have, exponential smoothing, e = 0.8 and forecast for June = 164.

Formula for forecasting of a month(fm) :

= e * demand of previous month + (1 - e) * forecast of previous month.

Now fm for July = [ 0.8 * 165] + [ 0.2 * 164]

= 164.8.

Now fm for August = [0.8 * 178] + [ 0.2 * 164.8] = 175.36.

Hence the correct option is (b) 175.36

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