An investment analyst found that a certain stock price goes up or down a point every day with probabilities 0.75 and 0.25, respectively. Daily fluctuations are independent. Find the probability that after four days, the stock price will be the same as initially?
probability that after four days, the stock price will be the same as initially =P(2 rise and 2 down movements)
=4C2 (0.25)2(0.75)2 =0.210938
An investment analyst found that a certain stock price goes up or down a point every...
An investment analyst found that a certain stcok price goes up or down a point every day with probabilities 0.75 and 0.25, respectively. Daily flucturations are independent. Fidn the expected value and the variance of the first day when the stock price goes up? What is the MGF of this day? What is the probability that this day happens on the sixth day?
Problem 3. In the setting of Problem 1, what is the expected value and the variance of the first day when the stock price goes up? What is the MGF of this day? What is the probability that this day happens on the sixth day? Problem 1. An investment analyst found that a certain stock price goes up or down a point every day with probabilities 0.75 and 0.25, respectively. Daily fluctuations are independent. Find the probability that after four...
Each day the price of a stock goes up a dollar with probability .75, or down a dollar with probability .25. Assuming these fluctuations to be independent, what is the probability that after 6 days the stock will be trading at the same price? What is the probability that it will have gone down? How can I do it in Microsoft Excel?
Suppose that each day the price of a stock moves up 1/8 th of a point with probability 1/3 and down 1/8 th of a point with probability 2/3. The price fluctuations are independent each day. (a) What is the probability that the stock has a price gain in 6 days?
Assume that, in one day, a stock price can go up by 1 point with probability 0.4, or down by 1 point with probability 0.3; the price can also remain the same. After 40 days, what is the probability that the stock price increases by more than 6.5 points?
The daily price of a farm commodity is up, down, or unchanged from the day before. Analysts predict that if the last price was down, there is a 5 probability the next will be down, and a 4 probability the price will be unchanged. If the last price was unchanged. there is a 35 probability it will be down and a .35 probability it will be up. For prices whose last movement was up, the probabilities of down, unchanged, and...
Joe’s friend is an avid surfer who goes to a certain surfing location every year, stays there until he has had 5 good surfing days and then leaves. At that location, the probability that a day is good according to Joe’s friend’s standards is estimated to be equal 0.6 independently of other days. Joe came to the same location one week (7 days) later than his friend who was still there. Given only this information, what is the probability that...
In the book Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, 2nd ed., Robert T. Clemen presents an example in which an investor wishes to choose between investing money in (1) a high-risk stock, (2) a low-risk stock, or (3) a savings account. The payoffs received from the two stocks will depend on the behavior of the stock market-that is, whether the market goes up, stays the same, or goes down over the investment period. In addition, in order to...
You are tracking Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock price, attempting to figure out a good price point for entry into the market. You look at 44 random days over the course of a few months and see that the closing price has an average of $360.63 with a standard deviation of $21.442. You construct a 95% confidence interval for the average stock price to be (354.11, 367.15). Of the following choices, what is the appropriate interpretation of this interval? 1) We...
Question 2 (1 point) You are tracking Chipotle Mexican Grill's stock price, attempting to figure out a good price point for entry into the market. You look at 50 random days over the course of a few months and see that the closing price has an average of $261.23 with a standard deviation of $19.35. You construct a 95% confidence interval for the average stock price to be (255.73, 266.73). Of the following choices, what is the appropriate interpretation of...