Assume that exchange rates are the following: Dollar/Pound: 1.60, Yen/Dollar = 100, Yen/Pound = 160
Now assume the following inflation rates over the next year will be: U.S.= 3%, Japan = 1%, and U.K. = 1.5%. What will be the exchange rates one year from now, assuming that Purchasing Power Parity holds:
a) Dollar/Pound b) Yen/Dollar
c) Yen/Pound
If the purchasing power parity holds, US dollar, Japan Yen and UK Pound depriciates by 3%, 1% and 1.5% respectively in absolute.
So, the Dollar/Pound rate would be 1.6x(US inflation)/(UK inflation)=1.6x1.03/1.015=1.623645
So, the Yen/Dollar rate would be 1.6x(Japan inflation)/(US inflation)=100x1.01/1.03=98.0582524
So, the Yen/Pound rate would be 1.6x(Japan inflation)/(UK inflation)=160x1.01/1.015=159.21182266
Assume that exchange rates are the following: Dollar/Pound: 1.60, Yen/Dollar = 100, Yen/Pound = 160 Now...
4. Assume that exchange rates are the following: Dollar/Pound: 1.60, Yen/Dollar = 100, Yen/Pound = 160 Now assume the following inflation rates over the next year will be: U.S.= 3%, Japan = 1%, and U.K. = 1.5%. What will be the exchange rates one year from now, assuming that Purchasing Power Parity holds: a) Dollar/Pound b) Yen/Dollar c) Yen/Pound
Challenge Problem. Following are currency exchange “crossrates”
between pairs of major currencies. Currency crossrates include both
direct and indirect methods for expressing relative exchange rates.
Currency crossrates include both direct and indirect methods for
expressing relative exchange rates.
U.S. U.K. Swiss Japanese European
Dollar Pound Franc Yen Euro
EMU 1.1406 ? 0.6783 0.0087 ---
Japan 130.66 185.98 77.705 --- 114.60
Switzerland 1.6817 2.3936 --- 0.0129 ?
United
Kingdom ? --- 0.4178 ? 0.6162
United
States --- 1.4231 ? 0.0077 0.8767
a. Fill in the missing exchange rates in
the crossrates table.
b. If the inflation rate is expected to be
3 percent in the European Monetary Union
(EMU) and 4 percent in...
4. Suppose that 1 British pound exchanges for 1.4 U.S. dollars and 100 Japanese yen. Over the next decade, Japanese prices remain constant, while inflation doubles American prices, and uadruples British prices. What would the purchasing-power parity theory lead one to expect about the exchange rates between the three currencies 10 years hence?
Assume that uncovered interest rate parity holds between the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. If today the 1-year riskless interest rate in Japan is 5%, the one-year riskless interest rate in the U.S. is 1%, and the spot exchange rate is $.01 per yen, what is the expected exchange rate one-year from today? Suppose that expected inflation in the U.S. increased. What would happen to the current (spot) exchange, i.e. will it increase or decrease? Explain your reasoning.
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