In a certain city district, the need for money to buy drugs is stated as the reason for 69%of all thefts. Find the probability that among the next 5 theft cases reported in this district, (a) exactly 2 resulted from the need for money to buy drugs. (b) at most 3 resulted from the need to buy drugs
Solution
Given that ,
p = 0.69
q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.69 = 0.31
n = 5
Using binomial probability formula ,
P(X = x) = (n C x) * p x * (1 - p)n - x
P(X = 2) = (5 C 2) * 0.692 * (0.31)3
=0.1418
probability=0.1418
(B)
P(X <3 ) = P(X=0) +P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)
=(5 C 0) * 0.690 * (0.31)5+(5 C 1) * 0.691 * (0.31)4+(5 C 2) * 0.692 * (0.31)3+(5 C 3) * 0.693 * (0.31)2
probability =0.4923
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