Tesar Chemicals is considering Projects S and L, whose cash
flows are shown below. These projects are mutually exclusive,
equally risky, and not repeatable. The CEO believes the IRR is the
best selection criterion, while the CFO advocates the NPV. If the
decision is made by choosing the project with the higher IRR rather
than the one with the higher NPV, how much, if any, value will be
forgone, i.e., what's the chosen NPV versus the maximum possible
NPV? Note that (1) "true value" is measured by NPV, and (2) under
some conditions the choice of IRR vs. NPV will have no effect on
the value gained or lost.
| WACC: | 7.50% | ||||
| Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| CFS |
-$1,100 |
$550 |
$600 |
$100 |
$100 |
| CFL |
-$2,700 |
$650 |
$725 |
$800 |
$1,400 |
|
$138.10 |
||
|
$149.21 |
||
|
$160.31 |
||
|
$171.42 |
||
|
$182.52 |
NPV of CFS is as follows:
| Year | CF | Discount Factor | Discounted CF | ||
| 0 | $ -1,100.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^0= | 1 | 1*-1100= | $ -1,100.00 |
| 1 | $ 550.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^1= | 0.930232558 | 0.930232558139535*550= | $ 511.63 |
| 2 | $ 600.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^2= | 0.865332612 | 0.865332612222823*600= | $ 519.20 |
| 3 | $ 100.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^3= | 0.80496057 | 0.804960569509603*100= | $ 80.50 |
| 4 | $ 100.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^4= | 0.74880053 | 0.748800529776375*100= | $ 74.88 |
| NPV = Sum of all Discounted CF | $ 86.20 | ||||
IRR is the rate at which NPV = 0
IRR can be calculated using either a financial calculator or excel
or through hit and trial:
Using Excel we get the IRR = 12.24% rounded to two decimal places as per the below schedule:
| Year | CF | Discount Factor | Discounted CF | ||
| 0 | $-1,100.00 | 1/(1+0.122415662123375)^0= | 1 | 1*-1100= | $ -1,100.00 |
| 1 | $ 550.00 | 1/(1+0.122415662123375)^1= | 0.890935536 | 0.890935536402094*550= | $ 490.01 |
| 2 | $ 600.00 | 1/(1+0.122415662123375)^2= | 0.79376613 | 0.793766130024086*600= | $ 476.26 |
| 3 | $ 100.00 | 1/(1+0.122415662123375)^3= | 0.707194453 | 0.707194452830823*100= | $ 70.72 |
| 4 | $ 100.00 | 1/(1+0.122415662123375)^4= | 0.630064669 | 0.630064669173415*100= | $ 63.01 |
| NPV = Sum of all Discounted CF | $ 0.00 | ||||
NPV of the CFL is as follows:
| Year | CF | Discount Factor | Discounted CF | ||
| 0 | $ -2,700.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^0= | 1 | 1*-2700= | $ -2,700.00 |
| 1 | $ 650.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^1= | 0.930232558 | 0.930232558139535*650= | $ 604.65 |
| 2 | $ 725.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^2= | 0.865332612 | 0.865332612222823*725= | $ 627.37 |
| 3 | $ 800.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^3= | 0.80496057 | 0.804960569509603*800= | $ 643.97 |
| 4 | $ 1,400.00 | 1/(1+0.075)^4= | 0.74880053 | 0.748800529776375*1400= | $ 1,048.32 |
| NPV = Sum of all Discounted CF | $ 224.31 | ||||
Using Excel we get the IRR = 10.71 % rounded to two decimal places as per the below schedule:
| Year | CF | Discount Factor | Discounted CF | ||
| 0 | $-2,700.00 | 1/(1+0.107118091843484)^0= | 1 | 1*-2700= | $ -2,700.00 |
| 1 | $ 650.00 | 1/(1+0.107118091843484)^1= | 0.903246011 | 0.903246010852266*650= | $ 587.11 |
| 2 | $ 725.00 | 1/(1+0.107118091843484)^2= | 0.815853356 | 0.815853356120532*725= | $ 591.49 |
| 3 | $ 800.00 | 1/(1+0.107118091843484)^3= | 0.736916289 | 0.736916289356304*800= | $ 589.53 |
| 4 | $ 1,400.00 | 1/(1+0.107118091843484)^4= | 0.665616699 | 0.665616698693136*1400= | $ 931.86 |
| NPV = Sum of all Discounted CF | $ -0.00 | ||||
So even though CFL has a higher NPV at 7.5% discount rate, but CFS is chosen as it has a higher IRR.
So the NPV given up =224.30 - 86.20 = 138.10 so the correct option is the first 1
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