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Bloomberg runs 2 different simulation models to make predictions about CO2 concentrations in the future. Hypothetically,...

Bloomberg runs 2 different simulation models to make predictions about CO2 concentrations in the future. Hypothetically, assume Simulation 1 is utilized 72% of the time and Simulation 2 is used 28% of the time. Simulation 1 has a 0.5% chance of predicting the change resulting from the pandemic and Simulation 2 has a 2.5% chance. Probability that the simulation used by Bloomberg captures a change resulting from the pandemic?

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