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8 part 2 6.  I can either be right or wrong. Thus, there is a 50% chance...

8 part 2

6.  I can either be right or wrong. Thus, there is a 50% chance that anything I believe is true. That line of reasoning is guilty of base rate neglect. TRUE/FALSE

7. An argument that is guilty of base rate neglect cannot be sound. TRUE/FALSE

8. The proposition 'You are guilty of base rate neglect' is analytic. TRUE/FALSE

9. Todd thinks his odds of finishing his doctorate are 50%. Upon learning that the dropout rate is 50%, Todd doesn't change his estimate. He is guilty of base rate neglect. TRUE/FALSE

10. If I use a plagiarism detector that is accurate 99% of the time when used on cheaters, we could rightly infer that if the test says you cheated, there's a 99% chance that you did. TRUE/FALSE

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Answer #1

Ans. 6

The statement is true.

Ans. 7

The statement is not true.

Ans. 8

True statement.

Ans. 9

True

Ans. 10

The statement is false.

Note- the rate of neglect is a common tendency to judge, things without maintaining clear analytics.

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