Assume that random guesses are made for 12 multiple choice questions on a medical admissions test, so that there are n= 12 trials, each with a probability of success (correct) given by p= 0.25. Find the probability that the number x of correct answers is fewer than 6.
Given that ,
p = 0.25
1 - p = 1 - 0.25= 0.75
n = 12
Using binomial probability formula ,
P(X = x) = (n C x) * px * (1 - p)n - x
P(X <6) = P(X=0) +P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)=+P(X=5)
= (12 C 0) * 0.250 * (0.75)12+(12 C 1) * 0.251 * (0.75)11+(12 C 2) * 0.252 * (0.75)10+(12 C 3) * 0.253 * (0.75)9+(12 C 4) * 0.254 * (0.75)8+(12 C 5) * 0.255 * (0.75)7
probability =0.9456
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assume that random guesses are made for nine multiple choice
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