Question

San Francisco Bread Company Demand (Q) Price (P) Competitor Price (Px) Advertising (Ad) Income (I)             ...

San Francisco Bread Company
Demand (Q) Price (P) Competitor Price (Px) Advertising (Ad) Income (I)
             599,201 $6.66 $5.96 $206,647.00 $52,955.00
             572,258 $8.01 $5.30 $207,025.00 $54,391.00
             558,142 $7.53 $6.16 $207,422.00 $48,491.00
             627,973 $6.51 $7.56 $216,224.00 $51,219.00
             593,024 $6.20 $7.15 $217,954.00 $48,685.00
             565,004 $7.28 $6.97 $220,139.00 $47,219.00
             596,254 $5.95 $5.52 $220,215.00 $49,775.00
             652,880 $6.42 $6.27 $220,728.00 $54,932.00
             596,784 $5.94 $5.66 $226,603.00 $48,092.00
             657,468 $6.47 $7.68 $228,620.00 $54,929.00
             519,866 $6.99 $5.10 $230,241.00 $46,057.00
             612,941 $7.72 $5.38 $232,777.00 $55,239.00
             621,707 $6.46 $6.20 $237,300.00 $53,976.00
             597,215 $7.31 $7.43 $238,765.00 $49,576.00
             617,427 $7.36 $5.28 $241,957.00 $55,454.00
             572,320 $6.19 $6.12 $251,317.00 $48,480.00
             602,400 $7.95 $6.38 $254,393.00 $53,249.00
             575,004 $6.34 $5.67 $255,699.00 $49,696.00
             667,581 $5.54 $7.08 $262,270.00 $52,600.00
             569,880 $7.89 $5.10 $275,588.00 $50,472.00
             644,684 $6.76 $7.22 $277,667.00 $53,409.00
             605,468 $6.39 $5.21 $277,816.00 $52,660.00
             599,213 $6.42 $6.00 $279,031.00 $50,464.00
             610,735 $6.82 $6.97 $279,934.00 $49,525.00
             603,830 $7.10 $5.30 $287,921.00 $49,489.00
             617,803 $7.77 $6.96 $289,358.00 $49,375.00
             529,009 $8.07 $5.76 $294,787.00 $48,254.00
             573,211 $6.91 $5.96 $296,246.00 $46,017.00

1. Using the excel data above answer the following questions.

  1. What is the p-value for the competitor’s price? Is this statistically significant or not? Briefly explain.
  2. If a competitor increased its price by $1.50, then what would be the predicted impact on our sales, if any?
  3. What is your R2? What does this mean in words
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Answer #1

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0.9308

R Square

0.8664

Adjusted R Square

0.8432

Standard Error

13868.2389

Observations

28

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

4.000

28692838225.528

7173209556.382

37.297

0.000

Residual

23.000

4423545125.186

192328048.921

Total

27.000

33116383350.714

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

93833.8877

66959.6608

1.4013

0.1745

-44682.7242

232350.4995

Price (P)

-19432.5811

3931.9650

-4.9422

0.0001

-27566.4704

-11298.6919

Competitor Price (Px)

17711.9806

3359.2803

5.2726

0.000024

10762.7798

24661.1814

Advertising (Ad)

0.2869

0.0940

3.0510

0.0057

0.0924

0.4815

Income (I)

8.9996

0.9625

9.3505

0.0000

7.0086

10.9906

A. The p-value for competitors price is 0.000024. Yes it is statistically significant as the p-value is less than 0.05 and 0.01. If the p-value is less than 0.01, the probability of not getting the value is less than 1 percent

B. Equation is,

Demand = 93833.89-19432.58*P+17711.98*Px+0.2869*Ad+8.99*I

So, when the price of competitor is increased by $1.5 the demand for SF bread increases by 17711.98*1.5 = 26568 units

C. R^2, is the coefficient of determination which tells about the amount of variation explained by the model or equation. The value of 0.8664 means the model is able to capture 86.64 percent of variation in demand through price, competitor price, Advertising and Income

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