Give the following probabilities:、
P(success)=P(s)=0.7
P(favorable forecast s)= P (f/s)=0.85
P(favorable forecast /not pass)= P (f/n)=0.1
compute p(s/f) (s/u)and P(F)
Ans:
P(F)=P(f/s)*P(s)+P(f/u)*P(u)
=0.85*0.7+0.1*(1-0.7)=0.625
P(s/f)=P(f/s)*P(s)/P(F)
=0.85*0.7/0.625=0.952
P(u/f)=P(f/u)*P(u)/P(f)
=0.1*(1-0.7)/0.625=0.048
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