You have an aged relative who is terrified of debt. She runs a company that has zero debt. The company is in steady state. Its annual revenue is fixed at $1,000 and all income is distributed as dividends. There are 40 shares are outstanding. The dividends are $6.00 per share. Its required rate of return (or cost of equity) is 12%. With zero dividend growth this results in a current share price of $50.00. Currently the risk-free rate is 5% and the market risk premium is 7%. So the company’s stock beta is 1.00. This is also the asset beta.
Your aged relative retires and a new CEO is hired. The new CEO sells $1,000 of 7% 100-year bonds and repurchases 20 shares of stock. Nothing else changes in the company. The company’s tax rate is 40%. Construct new financial statements that reflect this change and estimate how much the market price of the stock will change, if at all. There will be no change in revenue and all income will be distributed as dividends.
|
Pre-Change Income Statement |
Post-Change Income Statement |
|
|
Revenue |
$1,000 |
$1,000 |
|
Expenses |
600 |
|
|
Taxable Income |
400 |
|
|
Taxes |
160 |
|
|
Net Income |
240 |
|
|
Dividends per share |
$6.00 |
|
|
Share Price |
$50.00 |
|
|
Pre change Balance Sheet |
Post-Change Balance Sheet |
|
|
Total Assets |
$2,000 |
|
|
Debt |
0 |
$1,000 |
|
Market Value of Equity |
$2,000 |
|
|
Total Liabilities & Equity |
$2,000 |
|
|
Income Statement |
Pre-Change | Post-Change | ||
| Revenue | 1000 | 1000 | ||
| Expenses | 600 | 670 | (600+(1000*7%)) | |
| Taxable Income | 400 | 330 | ||
| Taxes | 160 | 132 | ||
| EPS=6 | Net Income | 240 | 198 | EPS=198/20=9.9 |
| 240/40=6 | Dividends per share | 6 | 9.9 | 198/(40-20) |
| 6/12%=50 | Share Price | 50 | 82.47 | P/E=8.33 |
| P/E=50/6=8.33 | P/E=P/9.9=8.33 | |||
| Balance Sheet | Pre-Change | Post-Change | ||
| Total Assets | 2000 | 2649 | ||
| Debt | 0 | 1000 | ||
| 50*40 | Market Value of Equity | 2000 | 1649 | 20*82.47 |
| Total Liabilities & Equity | 2000 | 2649 | ||
| So, share price increases to $ 82.47 | ||||
You have an aged relative who is terrified of debt. She runs a company that has...