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4. + -/12.5 points WaneFMAC7 8.6.011. My Notes Suppose that it snows in Greenland an average of once every 27 days, and when

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Answer #1

Given,

P(Snow) = 1/27

So P(Not snow) = 1 - 1/27 = 26/27

P(Glacier grow | Snow) = 0.27

P(Glacier grow | Not snow) = 0.07

Hence by Bayes' theorem:

P(Snow | Glacier grow)

(1/27) + 0.27 (127) + 0.27 + (26/27) * 0.07

= 0.1292

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