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re stock market indexes consistently accurate predictors of economic activity? Why?

re stock market indexes consistently accurate predictors of economic activity? Why?

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Stock Markets Indexes (SMIs) can be used as a predictor of economic activity but there are also problems involved with the same. SMIs increase when the companies are profitable and as profitability increases the indexes rise and indicate good economy. Also, as SMIs increase the gain of investors increase and they spend more which stimulates the economy.

But SMIs can also be mis-leading. The investors aren't always right about the prediction of the future economic activity. Thus, there can be dips before economy expansion or rise before economy recession. Also, investors can wrongly predict profits to rise which provide incorrect indication of good economic activity.

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