Problem

Use the data in EZANDERS.RAW for this exercise. The data are on monthly unemployment claim...

Use the data in EZANDERS.RAW for this exercise. The data are on monthly unemployment claims in Anderson Township in Indiana, from January 1980 through November 1988. In 1984, an enterprise zone (EZ) was located in Anderson (as well as other cities in Indiana). [See Papke (1994) for details.]

(i) Regress log(uclms) on a linear time trend and 11 monthly dummy variables. What was the overall trend in unemployment claims over this period? (Interpret the coefficient on the time trend.) Is there evidence of seasonality in unemployment claims?

(ii) Add ez, a dummy variable equal to 1 in the months Anderson had an EZ, to the regression in part (i). Does having the enterprise zone seem to decrease unemployment claims? By how much? [You should use formula (7.10) from Chapter 7.]

(iii) What assumptions do you need to make to attribute the effect in part (ii) to the creation of an EZ?

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