Problem

Amanda has 30 years to save for her retirement. At the beginning of each year, she puts...

Amanda has 30 years to save for her retirement. At the beginning of each year, she puts $5000 into her retirement account. At any point in time, all of Amanda’s retirement funds are tied up in the stock market. Suppose the annual return on stocks follows a normal distribution with mean 12% and standard deviation 25%. What is the probability that at the end of 30 years, Amanda will have reached her goal of having $1,000,000 for retirement? Assume that if Amanda reaches her goal before 30 years, she will stop investing. (Hint: Each year you should keep track of Amanda’s beginning cash position—for year 1, this is $5000—and Amanda’s ending cash position. Of course, Amanda’s ending cash position for a given year is a function of her beginning cash position and the return on stocks for that year. To estimate the probability that Amanda meets her goal, use an IF statement that returns 1 if she meets her goal and 0 otherwise.)

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