Your task is to value the stock price of Harrington Ltd with the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) in stable growth. You have the following information:
|
Dividends per share DIV0 |
€1.89 |
|
|
Risk-free rate rF |
3.00% |
|
|
Beta β |
1.182 |
|
|
Expected return on stocks |
8.50% |
|
|
Estimated long-term dividends growth rate |
2.75% |
Required:
(a) Calculate the value of the stock of Harrington Ltd using the
Dividend Discount Model (DDM) in stable growth;
(b) The stock currently trades at €39.40 in the stock market; would
you recommend buying it?
Part a:
We can calculate discount rate using Capital asset pricing model
(CAPM) formula.
Discount rate =Risk free rate + Beta*(market rate of return- risk
free rate of return)
Given that:
Risk-free rate=3%
Beta=1.182
Expected return on stocks (or market rate of return)=8.50%
Discount rate=3+1.182*(8.5-3)
=3+1.182*(5.5)
=3+6.50
=9.50% or .095
Value of stock using the method of dividend discount model in
stable growth is given by the formula Div1/(r-g)
r= Discount rate
r =9.5% or .095 as we have calculated above
g=Long-term dividends growth rate
As given in the question, the value of g=2.75%=0.0275
Now, dividends per share (Div0)=€1.89
Div1= Dividend per share expected to be received at the end of
first year = Div0*(1+g)
=1.89*(1+2.75/100)=1.89*(1+.0275)
=1.89*(1.0275)=1.94198
Using the values in the formula Div1/(r-g), we get
Value of the stock=1.94198/(.095-.0275)
=1.94198/.0675
=28.77
The value of the stock is €28.77
Part b:
The stock is currently trading at €39.40. It means that the stock
is over valued. We would not recommend to buy an overvalued
stock.
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