Select any country worldwide and search out its population and
growth rate in 2010. Then use the equation bellow to predict the
countries population in 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050, and 2060. Please
show your work. You may construct a table similar to the one below
to demonstrate your answers. (Note: You may choose any set
of 5 ten year increments if you have difficulty finding 2010 data.)
Use N=N0ekt
N = The population in the year you are trying to predict
N0 = Starting population
e = mathematical constant = 2.718
k = growth rate expressed as a decimal. For instance a growth rate
of 2% has a k=0.02
t = time in future years
Country _______________ Growth Rate ________________ Starting Population ____________ in year __________.
|
Year |
Work |
Predicted Population |
|
2010 |
||
|
2020 |
||
|
2030 |
||
|
2040 |
||
|
2050 |
||
|
2060 |
country -- Australia
growth rate --- 1.6% annually
starting population = 22 million
22 ( 1 + .016 )^t = 22 e^( kt )
1.016 ^t = e^kt
k = ln 1.1016
k = 0.01587
y = 22 e^( 0.01587 t )
| year | work | predicted population |
| 2010 | 22 e^( 0.01587 *0 ) | 22 million |
| 2020 | 22 e^( 0.01587 *10) | 26 million |
| 2030 | 22 e^( 0.01587 *20 ) | 30 million |
| 2040 | 22 e^( 0.01587 *30 ) | 35 million |
| 2050 | 22 e^( 0.01587 *40) | 42 million |
| 2060 | 22 e^( 0.01587 *50) | 49 million |
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