Mathematical models of physical phenomena are infinitely precise. However, we are not able to make measurements of physical phenomena with anywhere near that precision. Therefore, we often must “fit” the data we measure to a mathematical model we construct to describe the system. How well the data "fits" helps us understand how good our model is and how well our data collection systems perform.
Using the velocity and position data for a falling object provided by the instructor, do the following in MATLAB:
velocity = 11, 31, 64, 112, 176, 259, 362
position = 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Here we are going to demonstrate the effect of 3 polynomial orders (1 2 3) for the relation between velocity and position, obeying the models (between position p and velocity v)



%===================================================
clear all;
clc;
% Assuming position(p) to be a function of velocity(v) as for x=v and y=p giving y=f(x)
x = [11, 31, 64, 112, 176, 259, 362];
y = [2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8];
y = y + rand(1,length(y)); % Introducing uniform random noise
having value between 0 to 1
% Fitting 1,2,3 order polynomials
poly1 = polyfit(x,y,1);
poly2 = polyfit(x,y,2);
poly3 = polyfit(x,y,3);
% Generting fitted values
yfit1 = polyval(poly1,x);
yfit2 = polyval(poly2,x);
yfit3 = polyval(poly3,x);
% Goodness of fit calculation
% == order-1 ==
% Compute the residual values as a vector of signed numbers:
yresid1 = y - yfit1;
yresid2 = y - yfit2;
yresid3 = y - yfit3;
% Square the residuals and total them to obtain the residual sum of
squares:
SSresid1 = sum(yresid1.^2);
SSresid2 = sum(yresid2.^2);
SSresid3 = sum(yresid3.^2);
% Compute the total sum of squares of y by multiplying the variance of y by the number of observations minus 1:
SStotal = (length(y)-1) * var(y);
% Compute R2 using the formula given in the introduction of this topic:
rsq1 = 1 - SSresid1/SStotal;
rsq2 = 1 - SSresid2/SStotal;
rsq3 = 1 - SSresid3/SStotal;
fprintf('Goodness of fit for polynomials of order 1 = %f, order 2 =
%f, order 3 = %f\n',rsq1,rsq2,rsq3);
% plot
figure
scatter(x,y);
hold on
plot(x,yfit1)
hold on
plot(x,yfit2)
hold on
plot(x,yfit3)
legend('Original data','Polynomial order-1','Polynomial
order-2','Polynomial order-3');
xlabel('Velocity');
ylabel('Position');
%===================================================
sample output:
Goodness of fit for polynomials of order 1 = 0.905276, order 2 = 0.943981, order 3 = 0.995069

Note: the output on each run is highly likely to be different that the previous run due to the introduction of random noise in y values.
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