Assume that the model y = Xβ + u satisfies the Gauss-Markov assumptions, let G be a (k + 1) × (k + 1) nonsingular, nonrandom matrix, and define δ =Gβ, so that δ is also a (k + 1) × 1 vector. Let
be the (k + 1) × 1 vector of OLS estimators and define
=G
as the OLS estimator of δ.
(i) Show that E(
X) =δ.
(ii) Find Var(
X) in terms of σ2, X, and G.
(iii) Use Problem
Problem Let
be the OLS estimate from the regression of y on X. Let A be a (k + 1) × (k + 1) nonsingular matrix and define zt = xtA, t = 1,….,n. Therefore, zt is 1 × (k + 1) and is a nonsingular linear combination of xt. Let Z be the n × (k + 1) matrix with rows zt. Let
denote the OLS estimate from a regression of y on Z.
(i) Show that
=A-1
.
(ii) L et
be the fitted values from the original regression and let . y t be the fitted values from regressing y on Z. Show that
=
, for all t =- 1, 2,…., n. How do the residuals from the two regressions compare?
(iii) Show that the estimated variance matrix for
is
A1(XʹX)1A1ʹ, where
is the usual variance estimate from regressing y on X.
(iv) L et the
be the OLS estimates from regressing yt on 1, xt1,...,xtk, and let the
be the OLS estimates from the regression of yt on 1, a1xt1,…,ak xtk, where aj ≠ 0, j =1,…,k. Use the results from part (i) to find the relationship between the
and the
(v) Assuming the setup of part (iv), use part (iii) to show that se(
) = se(
)/aj.
(vi) Assuming the setup of part (iv), show that the absolute values of the t statistics for
and
are identical.
to verify that
and the appropriate estimate of Var(
X) are obtained from the regression of y on XG1.
(iv) Now, let c be a (k +1) × 1 vector with at least one nonzero entry. For concreteness, assume that ck ≠ 0. Define θ=cʹβ, so that θ is a scalar. Define δj=βj, j =1, ...,k 1 and δk = 0. Show how to define a (k+ 1) × (k + 1) nonsingular matrix G so that δ =Gβ.
(v) Show that for the choice of G in part (iv),
Use this expression for G1 and part (iii) to conclude that
and its standard error are obtained as the coefficient on xtk /ck in the regression of yt on [1 (c0/ck)xtk], [xt1 (c1/ck)xtk],..., [xt,k1 (ck1/ck)xtk], xtk/ck, t = 1,...,n. This regression is exactly the one obtained by writing βk in terms of θ and β0, β1,...,βk1, plugging the result into the original model, and rearranging. Therefore, we can
formally justify the trick we use throughout the text for obtaining the standard error of a linear combination of parameters.
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