A survey was taken of 1,000 people's investment choices. The survey indicates that 34% have invested in stocks (S), 48% have invested in bonds (B), and 21% have invested in stocks and bonds.
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P(S) = 0.34
P(B) = 0.48
P(S∩B) = 0.21
We want to find, If someone invested in bonds, what is the probability that the person did not invest in stocks.
That is P(S'∩B) where S' is compliment of event S
P(S'∩B) = P(B) - P(S∩B)
= 0.48 - 0.21
= 0.27
Odds against the event S'∩B is defined as P[(S'∩B)'] / P(S'∩B)
That is ratio of the probability that the event will not occur to the probability that the event will occur
odds against = (1-0.27)/0.27
= 0.73/0.27
= 2.704
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