The ABC Manufacturing Co. has made a decision to replace an existing production line with new equipment. This project will require several tasks (jobs) with precedence relationships and duration (days) as shown in the following table. The project will be finished when activities A-J are all finished.
|
Activity |
predecessor |
Optimistic |
Most likely |
Pessimistic |
Expected |
|
A |
- |
4 |
5 |
12 |
|
|
B |
A |
3 |
4.5 |
15 |
|
|
C |
A |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
D |
C |
6 |
8 |
22 |
|
|
E |
B |
4 |
6 |
8 |
|
|
F |
C |
3 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
G |
D,E |
1.5 |
3 |
4.5 |
|
|
H |
B |
5 |
7 |
15 |
|
|
I |
H |
3 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
J |
G, I |
2 |
4 |
6 |
Expected times (t) = a + 4m + b) / 6
a = Optimistic time, m= most likely, b= pessimistic time
|
ES |
D |
EF |
|
Activity name |
||
|
LS |
S |
LF |
ES: Early start, EF: early finish, LS: Late start, LF: late finish
D: Duration or Expected time
S: Slack
| 1 | B | C | D | E | F | G |
| 2 | Activity | predecessor | Optimistic | Most likely | Pessimistic | Expected |
| 3 | A | - | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 4 | B | A | 3 | 4.5 | 15 | 6 |
| 5 | C | A | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | D | C | 6 | 8 | 22 | 10 |
| 7 | E | B | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | F | C | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | G | D,E | 1.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 10 | H | B | 5 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 11 | I | H | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | J | G, I | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Formula
| 1 | B | C | D | E | F | G |
| 2 | Activity | predecessor | Optimistic | Most likely | Pessimistic | Expected |
| 3 | A | - | 4 | 5 | 12 | =(D3+(4*E3)+F3)/6 |
| 4 | B | A | 3 | 4.5 | 15 | =(D4+(4*E4)+F4)/6 |
| 5 | C | A | 2 | 3 | 4 | =(D5+(4*E5)+F5)/6 |
| 6 | D | C | 6 | 8 | 22 | =(D6+(4*E6)+F6)/6 |
| 7 | E | B | 4 | 6 | 8 | =(D7+(4*E7)+F7)/6 |
| 8 | F | C | 3 | 4 | 5 | =(D8+(4*E8)+F8)/6 |
| 9 | G | D,E | 1.5 | 3 | 4.5 | =(D9+(4*E9)+F9)/6 |
| 10 | H | B | 5 | 7 | 15 | =(D10+(4*E10)+F10)/6 |
| 11 | I | H | 3 | 4 | 5 | =(D11+(4*E11)+F11)/6 |
| 12 | J | G, I | 2 | 4 | 6 | =(D12+(4*E12)+F12)/6 |

|
From the Network diagram, It can be concluded that Critical Path is A– B –H - I - J and it is shown with Bold Line, again Project Need at least 28 Days to finish, |
| Activity | ES | LS | EF | LF | Slack | Critical Path activity Yes or No |
| A | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | Yes |
| B | 6 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | Yes |
| C | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 2 | No |
| D | 9 | 11 | 19 | 21 | 2 | No |
| E | 12 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 3 | No |
| F | 9 | 24 | 13 | 28 | 15 | No |
| G | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 2 | No |
| H | 12 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 0 | Yes |
| I | 20 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 0 | Yes |
| J | 24 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 0 | Yes |
The ABC Manufacturing Co. has made a decision to replace an existing production line with new...
Consider the following project activities:
Calculate the expected time (te) for each
activity.
Draw an Activity on Node (AON) diagram to reflect the flow of
these activities.
Calculate the Early Start (ES), Early Finish (EF), Late Start
(LS), and Late Finish (LF) for each activity.
Calculate the slack for each activity.
Identify all activities on the Critical Path.
Use the data to calculate the probability the project will
finish in 20 weeks (Hint: z-score).
Activity A 8 с D E...
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